Gale in KY
16th July 2005, 06:57 PM
Close to a category 5 now and headed straight for our Wonderful Tulum. Please say a prayer for all of those in harms way. If you are evacuating, please go to the south- west and inland. I have talked to many who are evacuating to Merida and Progresso, both of which are directly in the path of this monster.
From the National Hurricane Center:
At 8 PM EDT...0000z...the center of Hurricane Emily was located near
latitude 17.1 north...longitude 79.5 west or about 140 miles...
230 km... southwest of Montego Bay Jamaica and about 195 miles...
315 km... southeast of Grand Cayman.
Emily is moving toward the west-northwest near 18 mph... 30 km/hr...
and this general motion is expected to continue for the next 24
hours. On this track... the center of Emily will be moving away
from Jamaica tonight and will be near Grand Cayman tonight and
Sunday morning.
Data from an Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft indicate that
maximum sustained winds remain near 155 mph... 250 km/hr... with
higher gusts. Emily is a strong category four hurricane on the
Saffir-Simpson scale. Some fluctuations in strength are
expected... and Emily could become a category five hurricane at
times... during the next 24 hours.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 60 miles... 95 km... from
the center... and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to
150 miles... 240 km. For Jamaica... hurricane force winds could
still occur tonight in gusts in rainbands along the coasts... with
possible sustained hurricane force winds at higher elevations...
especially above about 3000 feet.
The minimum central pressure reported by the reconnaissance aircraft
was 929 mb...27.43 inches.
Above normal tides... accompanied by large and dangerous battering
waves... are possible along the south coasts of Jamaica and the
Cayman Islands.
Emily could produce rainfall accumulations of 5 to 8 inches over
Jamaica with maximum amounts of 15 inches over mountainous terrain.
Rainfall totals of 5 to 8 inches are possible over the Cayman
Islands... with some 1 to 3 inch amounts possible over southeastern
Cuba. Rains will be increasing over portions of the Yucatan
Peninsula on Sunday with storm total amounts of 4 to 8 inches
possible... and local maximum amounts up to 12 inches. These rains
could produce life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.
Repeating the 8 PM EDT position...17.1 N... 79.5 W. Movement
toward...west-northwest near 18 mph. Maximum sustained
winds...155 mph. Minimum central pressure... 929 mb.
From the National Hurricane Center:
At 8 PM EDT...0000z...the center of Hurricane Emily was located near
latitude 17.1 north...longitude 79.5 west or about 140 miles...
230 km... southwest of Montego Bay Jamaica and about 195 miles...
315 km... southeast of Grand Cayman.
Emily is moving toward the west-northwest near 18 mph... 30 km/hr...
and this general motion is expected to continue for the next 24
hours. On this track... the center of Emily will be moving away
from Jamaica tonight and will be near Grand Cayman tonight and
Sunday morning.
Data from an Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft indicate that
maximum sustained winds remain near 155 mph... 250 km/hr... with
higher gusts. Emily is a strong category four hurricane on the
Saffir-Simpson scale. Some fluctuations in strength are
expected... and Emily could become a category five hurricane at
times... during the next 24 hours.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 60 miles... 95 km... from
the center... and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to
150 miles... 240 km. For Jamaica... hurricane force winds could
still occur tonight in gusts in rainbands along the coasts... with
possible sustained hurricane force winds at higher elevations...
especially above about 3000 feet.
The minimum central pressure reported by the reconnaissance aircraft
was 929 mb...27.43 inches.
Above normal tides... accompanied by large and dangerous battering
waves... are possible along the south coasts of Jamaica and the
Cayman Islands.
Emily could produce rainfall accumulations of 5 to 8 inches over
Jamaica with maximum amounts of 15 inches over mountainous terrain.
Rainfall totals of 5 to 8 inches are possible over the Cayman
Islands... with some 1 to 3 inch amounts possible over southeastern
Cuba. Rains will be increasing over portions of the Yucatan
Peninsula on Sunday with storm total amounts of 4 to 8 inches
possible... and local maximum amounts up to 12 inches. These rains
could produce life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.
Repeating the 8 PM EDT position...17.1 N... 79.5 W. Movement
toward...west-northwest near 18 mph. Maximum sustained
winds...155 mph. Minimum central pressure... 929 mb.